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  • Special article
    ZHAO Chunjiang
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(3): 3-7.
    Livestock industry is an important industry related to national economy and people’s livelihood, is the pillar industry of agricultural and rural economy, and is a strategic industry to ensure food security and residents’ life. Inner Mongolia as China’s important natural pastures and animal husbandry base, promoted the construction of national important agricultural and livestock products production base in recent years, has become an important national “granary”,“meat warehouse”,“milk can”, and“cashmere city”. The grain production ranks sixth in the country. 1/2 of cashmere and products, 1/4 of mutton, 1/6 of milk, and 1/10 of beef in the country come from Inner Mongolia. Based on the development practice of modern livestock husbandry both domestically and internationally, this study analyzed the current situation and typical cases of livestock husbandry in Inner Mongolia, clarified the key problems faced by the development of modern livestock husbandry in Inner Mongolia, and proposed key paths for the development of modern livestock husbandry in Inner Mongolia.
  • Agro-pastoral economy
    LI Wenbin, ZENG Li, YU Hongbo, LI Lianying
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(3): 67-75.
    Based on unified theory of acceptance and use of technology 2(UTAUT2)and perceived value-based adoption model(VAM)theories, this study analyzed 535 research data to empirically test the influencing factors of consumers’ willingness to purchase on fresh food e-commerce platforms under the new retail model. The results showed that hedonic motivation is a crucial factor influencing consumers’ willingness to purchase, followed by perceived value, effort expectation, and social influence. Hedonic motivation, effort expectation and facilitating condition had significant positive effects on consumers’ perceived value, and the effects decreased in order. At the same time, perceived value played a mediating role in hedonic motivation, effort expectation and facilitating condition on consumers’ willingness to purchase. Hedonic motivation and effort expectation had effects on consumers’ performance expectation, but the effect of performance expectation on consumers’ perceived value was not significant. Accordingly, fresh food e-commerce platforms should improve the ability of refined operation, create all-weather consumption experience, improve the efficiency of platform function, focus on word-of-mouth marketing, improve the traceability mechanism, improve the perceived value of consumption, and then increase the willingness of consumers to purchase.
  • Rural revitalization
    SONG Dejun, DING Xin
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(5): 26-37.
    Based on the panel data of 30 provincial administrative regions (except Xizang Autonomous Region, Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan) in China from 2014 to 2022,this paper constructed an evaluation index system of new quality productivity and agricultural high-quality development,used entropy method to obtain the level of new quality productivity and high-quality agricultural development,and calculated the coupling coordination degree of new quality productivity and high-quality agricultural development. Kernel density estimation, Moran index and Thiel index were further used to analyze the spatio-temporal evolution and regional differences of the coupling coordination level between new quality productivity and high-quality agricultural development, the obstacle degree model was used to diagnose and analyze the obstacle factors of the two subsystems. The results showed that the level of new quality productivity was stable and improved,with a pattern of high in the east and low in the west; the coupling and coordination level of new quality productivity and high-quality agricultural development in eastern,central and western regions showed a step distribution from high to low and the spatial correlation was significant. The differences of the coupling coordination degree of the four regions mainly came from the intra-regional differences,and the differences showed a deepening trend. Based on those,this paper put forward some suggestions on improving new quality productivity according to local conditions,giving full play to the radiation role of developed areas and strengthening basic agricultural research,so as to provide reference for promoting the coupling development of new quality productivity and agricultural quality in our country.
  • Special article
    DU Fulin
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(4): 3-8.
    In order to implement thoroughly the opinions on the promotion of high-quality development of Inner Mongolia strive to write a new chapter of Chinese-style modernization, Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region focuses on the primary task of achieving high-quality development of agriculture and animal husbandry,and comprehensively constructs a new pattern of high-quality development of modern agriculture and animal husbandry. At present, pastoral development has once again come to a new historical turning point. Whether to continue maintaining the low-level quantitative development model of protecting while overgrazing, or to choose a new high-level and high-quantity modernization path that can achieve a harmonious coexistence between humans and nature, has become a major choice for Inner Mongolia pastoral areas.This is a severe test to be withstood in order to fully utilize the ecological barrier function and safety and stability barrier function of the north, and to ensure the stable and safe supply of green agricultural and livestock products.It is also a historic new proposition bestowed given by the new era.
  • Rural revitalization
    WEI Xiaoxuan, CAI Dingkun
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(3): 8-13.
    The basis of rural revitalization is the revitalization of rural industries. Industrial integration is an important way to realize the revitalization of rural industries. By systematically combing the experience of the “Sixth Industry Promotion” development, it was summarized that: taking “agriculture, rural areas and farmers” as the center, making full use of regional characteristics, promoting the backward integration of the industrial chain, and leave the value of the industrial chain in the countryside. On the basis of analyzing the development reality of Yunnan Plateau characteristic agriculture, based on the development status of Yunnan Plateau characteristic agriculture and the experience of Japanese agricultural development, this study put forward measures to promote the development of Yunnan Plateau characteristic agriculture.
  • Agro-pastoral economy
    LU Bin, SHI Zilong, GAO Guangbing, GAO Feng, FAN Shuai, NA Qing, YANG Li, Liu Chongyang
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(4): 107-112.
    From the perspective of China’s economic development process, industry feeding agriculture is a realistic need for China’s economic and social development and transformation. Industry, as the core industry that carries on the next, reflects the strength of its ability to feed the size of its strength. Feed the path suitable or not, also reflects the linkage benefit of the integrated development of primary, secondary and tertiary industries. Therefore, it is of great significance to study the path mode of industry feeding agriculture to promote the regional industrial structure adjustment and realize the coordinated development of industry and agriculture. Uxin Banner of Ordos City is rich in agricultural and animal husbandry resources and industrial resources, and the development of industry feeding agriculture has constantly made new achievements. How to play the important role of industry feeding agriculture in rural revitalization has become an urgent problem to be solved at present. Therefore, this paper analyzes the characteristics of several kinds of industry-feeding agriculture in China, analyzes the current path of industry-feeding agriculture according to the current development situation of Uxin Banner, and puts forward the corresponding suggestions from the aspects of employment-feeding, system-feeding, and industry-feeding in order to further optimize the path selection of “secondary industry with primary industry, industry-feeding agriculture” in Uxin Banner, stimulate the integrated development of secondary industry, and expand the tertiary industry, as well as the integration development of secondary industry and the expansion of tertiary industry, secondary industries, and expand the consumption demand of the tertiary industry.
  • Agro-pastoral economy
    ZHU Hebin
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(4): 81-89.
    Exploring the blocking effect of farmers’ professional cooperatives on poverty return has important theoretical and practical significance for consolidating and expanding the achievements of poverty alleviation and connecting rural revitalization. This paper was based on the data of rural households in 29 provincial level administrative regions of China from CLDS database in 2014, 2016 and 2018, established a DID model to make theoretical analysis and empirical test on the blocking effect of farmers’ professional cooperatives on poverty return. The research showed that the establishment of farmers’ professional cooperatives had significant effects on the improvement of the economic level of rural families, and played a role in blocking poverty return. Farmers’ professional cooperatives had varying effects on the blocking of poverty return across geographical areas. Farmers’ professional cooperatives increased the income of farmers in non-ethnic areas and non-border areas, but had no significant impacts on ethnic areas and border areas. The mechanism of farmers’ professional cooperatives in blocking poverty return is mainly reflected in the reduction of agricultural economic income sources and improvement of farmers’ well-being. Therefore, to fully utilize the function of farmers’ professional cooperatives, the government should focus on improving the infrastructure construction in ethnic areas and border areas, try to establish trans-regional cooperation mechanisms. At the same time, guide farmers’ production and operation to concentrate on the development of advantageous industries and fully mobilize the subjective initiative of farmers.
  • Agro-pastoral economy
    FU Xinyu, LI Yerong, DUAN Juying
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(4): 72-80.
    It is of great significance for promoting coordinated development of regional agriculture to explore the dynamic evolution trend of regional agricultural production efficiency and analyze regional differences. The methods, such as the super efficiency SBM model, kernel density estimation method, and Dagum Gini coefficient decomposition method are used in this paper to study the dynamic evolution characteristics and regional differences of agricultural production efficiency from 2008 to 2022 in 16 cities in Shandong Province. The research results indicate that during the research period, the overall agricultural production efficiency of Shandong Province has been increasing year by year, presenting a spatial pattern of Central Shandong>eastern Shandong>Northwestern Shandong>Southwestern Shandong; The overall difference shows a fluctuating upward trend, and regional differences are the main source of the overall difference. Based on this, it is proposed to formulate differentiated agricultural development strategies and optimize measures to narrow regional and inter regional differences, in order to improve the overall agricultural production efficiency level and promote comprehensive rural revitalization in Shandong Province.
  • Agro-pastoral economy
    DU Peng, DONG Wenshan, ZHOU Dongxu
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(3): 14-23.
    Comprehensively explore the spatial evolution of agricultural production carbon emissions is of significant importance for formulating rational agricultural carbon reduction policies. Using agricultural carbon emission data in Shandong Province from 2000 to 2020,this study estimated the emissions and intensities across 16 regions within the province,and investigated the regional disparities, spatial-temporal patterns, and dynamic changes in agricultural carbon emissions and intensities in Shandong Province. The research findings indicated that: (1)Overall, agricultural carbon emissions across various regions exhibited a reversed U shape trend, characterized by “rise-stable fluctuation-decline” evolution trend; (2)Agricultural production carbon emission intensities in different regions showed a trend of “stable fluctuation-continuous decline”,reaching its lowest point by 2020; (3)Over the past 20 years, regions with high and medium-high carbon emission intensities in Shandong Province have continuously evolved towards medium and low intensities, with all regions transitioning to medium intensities or lower by 2020; (4)The Moran’s I index of agricultural production carbon emission intensities across the 16 regions of Shandong Province fluctuated in an N shape, demonstrating a distinct spatial clustering characteristics. In light of these findings, an in-depth analysis of the spatial evolution trends in agricultural carbon emissions in Shandong Province was conducted, along with proposed carbon emission reduction strategies, providing theoretical references for the sustainable development of agriculture in the province.
  • Ecological and environmental protection
    LI Pengcheng, YANG Haizhen
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(3): 98-104.
    Grassland, known as the “skin of the earth”, is the largest ecological protection barrier on land, which provides a lot of ecological product value. This study took Tianjun County, Haixi Mongolian and Tibetan Autonomous Prefecture, in the alpine region of Qinghai Province as an example, constructed a differentiated ecological product value accounting system based on the characteristics of rich grassland resource endowment. From three aspects of material supply, regulation service and cultural service, this paper used the water balance method and soil loss equation to calculate the value of grassland ecological products in Tianjun County, and proposed the value transformation path of grassland ecological products. The results showed that the realization of the grassland ecological products value in Tianjun County mainly relied on ecological protection and ecological compensation. The total value of ecological products of grassland ecosystem in Tianjun County was around 15.206 billion yuan, of which the value of material supply was around 360 million yuan, accounting for around 2.37% of the total value, the value of regulation services was around 14.422 billion yuan, accounting for around 94.84% of the total value. Among the regulation service value, the value of local climate regulation> water conservation> carbon sequestration and oxygen release> soil conservation value. The value of cultural services was around 424 million yuan, accounting for around 2.79% of the total value. The value of grassland ecological product regulation service was the largest, which was in line with the provincial positioning of “three largest” and the characteristics of resource endowment in alpine region of Qinghai Province. By exploring the value accounting of grassland ecological products, this paper is helpful for the government to formulate ecological compensation policies, promote the rational utilization and sustainable development of resources, and provide references for the protection and high-quality development of grassland resources.
  • Agro-pastoral economy
    DOU Mengzhao, CHEN Tuoyu, SUN Zibao
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(5): 38-46.
    It has a great theoretical and practical significance to better promote the Chinese path to modernization by accelerating the modernization of the “agriculture, rural areas and farmers”. Based on the data of Xizang from 2013 to 2022, this paper selected 12 indicators from the three dimensions of agricultural modernization, rural modernization and peasant modernization to construct an evaluation index system for the modernization level of “agriculture, rural areas and farmers” in Xizang, and used the entropy weight TOPSIS method and grey correlation model to empirically analyze the modernization level and its influencing factors of “agriculture, rural areas and farmers” in Xizang. The results showed that the modernization level of “agriculture, rural areas and farmers” areas in Xizang was generally stable and improving; the dimension of agricultural modernization had gradually become a weak link in the modernization development of Xizang's “agriculture, rural areas and farmers” areas; the amount of chemical fertilizer usage, the total grain output, the number of rural employees, the average number of cars per 100 rural households, the per capita self-owned housing area in rural areas, and the number of township health personnel were the core factors affecting the modernization level of Xizang's “agriculture, rural areas and farmers”. Therefore, countermeasures and suggestions were put forward from the six indicators with a correlation degree of less than 0.8, namely, the total power of agricultural machinery, the total output value of agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery, rural electricity consumption, the number of employees in mass cultural undertakings, the per capita disposable income of rural areas, and the per capita consumption expenditure of rural residents.
  • Agro-pastoral economy
    GUO Ruijing, XIE Yanming, LIU Shuaishi, HAO Junfeng, HUANG Sisi
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(4): 29-37.
    Family farms represent the leading direction of China’s agricultural management mode and are the backbone of food production. This paper is based on the survey data of 514 family farms in Yunnan Province, this paper established an evaluation index system of family farm capital endowment. On the basis of analyzing the characteristics of family farm capital endowment by entropy method and single factor analysis of variance, it further explored the influence of various types of capital endowment on the “grain-oriented” of heterogeneous family farms by using binary Logit model and Tobit model. The results showed that: (1) the degree of “grain-oriented” in family farms was low, with 56% of the farms growing grain and 39.3% of the farming area; The comprehensive capital endowment score is 0.337, and the scores of various capital endowments are human capital endowment, financial capital endowment, natural capital endowment and physical capital endowment in descending order. (2)Comprehensive capital endowment has a significant negative impact on the “grain-oriented” of family farms, in which financial capital endowment has a significant negative impact and natural capital endowment has a significant positive impact.(3)There are significant differences in the influence of different capital endowments on the “grain-oriented” of heterogeneous family farms. According to this, it is recommended to implement the grain subsidy policy, improve the land transfer and farmland use supervision system, and implement classified and precise policies to promote the production and operation of family farms to “grain-oriented” and ensure national food security.
  • Agro-pastoral economy
    SUN Peilei, JIAO Xiaoling
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(4): 90-99.
    Improving agricultural resilience is one of the key factors to accelerate the realization of agricultural and rural modernization. This paper is based on China’s provincial panel data from 2011 to 2020, this paper uses two-way fixed effect model, threshold effect model and spatial Durbin model to analyze the impact of agricultural industry agglomeration on agricultural resilience. The results show that agricultural industry agglomeration has a significant role in promoting agricultural resilience, and its effect is more obvious in non-main grain producing areas. During the study period, agricultural industrial agglomeration mainly improves the resilience level by improving the ability to resist risks and recover and reconstruct innovation. Affected by digital inclusive finance and human capital level, the promoting effect of agricultural industrial agglomeration on agricultural resilience shows nonlinear characteristics; Further analysis shows that agricultural industry agglomeration not only improves the resilience of local agriculture, but also improves the resilience of neighboring areas to a greater extent. Therefore, it is necessary to encourage all regions to adopt policies according to local conditions, create favorable external conditions for agricultural development, promote regional coordinated development, comprehensively and multi-level improve China’s agricultural resilience, and accelerate the building of an agricultural power.
  • Agro-pastoral economy
    PENG Qiang, WANG Jingjing, CHEN Wenbo
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(3): 51-58.
    This study selected data related to agricultural product export in Xinjiang from 2004 to 2022, constructed a high-quality agricultural product export development evaluation index system covering the five dimensions of innovation, coordination, green, open and sharing based on new development concept, and measured the high-quality development of agricultural product export in Xinjiang. The study concluded that the level of high-quality development of Xinjiang agricultural product export improved from 2004 to 2022; the green development index showed an upward trend, the innovation development index rose first and then declined, and the coordination development index, the sharing development index, and the opening development index were in the rising state. Among these, the innovation development index declined significantly, was an important factor restricting the high-quality development of Xinjiang agricultural product export. The green development index was an important factor contributing to the high-quality development of Xinjiang agricultural product export. In addition, the study found that the main factors affecting the high-quality development of Xinjiang agricultural product export also included insufficient export competitiveness and advantages, low dependence on foreign trade and small international market share, high export market concentration, and insufficient ability to drive employment. Based on the above research, Xinjiang should establish an agricultural employment subsidy policy in the new development stage, strengthen the reserve force for agricultural development; continue to promote the innovation and development of agricultural science and technology platforms, cultivate new kinetic energy and new advantages for the development of agricultural products export; and seize the opportunity of the “One Belt, One Road”, realize the high-quality development of agricultural products export.
  • Agro-pastoral economy
    FENG Mei, ZHANG Zhiyao, CHENG Juan, CAI Shuqing
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(3): 34-43.
    Exploring the voluntary paid withdrawal mechanism of rural homesteads and promoting further vacating and revitalization of idle homesteads are important measures to alleviate the inefficient utilization of rural land resources in China. Based on 640 survey data from farmers in Yujiang District,Jiangxi Province,this study empirically analyzed the impact mechanism of social reputation and value perception on farmers’ withdrawal behavior of homesteads,and further tested the mediating effect of value perception between social reputation and farmers’ withdrawal behavior of homesteads. The results showed that both social reputation and value perception significantly promoted farmers’ withdrawal behavior of rural homesteads,and value perception played a mediating role between social reputation and the withdrawal of rural homesteads; higher education level of the respondents or being a member of the Communist Party of China significantly increased the willingness of farmers to withdraw from their homesteads,promoted the achievement of withdrawal behavior. Based on this,it is recommended to pay attention to the external driving and internal motivating effects of social reputation and value perception in the withdrawal of rural homesteads,fully leverage the demonstration effects of“local elites”“intellectuals” and “leading cadres”, and pay attention to improving farmers’ perceived value level of rural homesteads withdrawal and enhancing their willingness to withdraw.
  • Agro-pastoral economy
    FENG Chunyan, GAO Hongtao
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(3): 85-92.
    The modern rural industrial system is the fundamental and supportive system for building an agricultural powerhouse. Through in-depth research and analysis of the rural industrial system in Qingdao, the insights and relevant suggestions for construction of modern rural industrial system were obtained. Research suggested that to accelerate the construction of a modern rural industrial system, the following approaches can be taken: improve the rural industrial system with a full industry chain thinking, promote the integrated development of the primary, secondary, and tertiary industries in rural areas through strengthening, supplementing, and extending the chain; promote the intensive development of rural industrial system through area construction, cluster development, and distinctive thinking; actively building regional public and regional brands to promote the upgrading of rural industries; deepening the reform of rural collective property rights system to promote the healthy development of modern rural industrial system; fully leverage the main role of farmers, strengthen the construction of talent teams, and promote the development of rural industries.
  • Rural revitalization
    XIONG Wantong, LI Qi, WEN Yingxian, MOU Zhixuan
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(4): 9-18.
    The strategy of rural revitalization is a major decision and deployment of the CPC for the work of “agriculture, rural areas and farmers” in the new era. Rational choice is a process of coupling with the goal of rural revitalization. Through field investigation in Yantang Village, Wulong District, Chongqing City, this paper analyzed the development achievements and predicaments from five dimensions of economic rationality, life rationality, cultural rationality, ecological rationality and social rationality, pointed out that the development of Yantang Village should coordinate from economy, organization, talent, culture and improve from the coordination of industrial upgrading and development, gathering professional talents for retention and education, stimulate farmers’ subjective consciousness and improve the efficiency of cultural supply.
  • Special article
    ZHOU Yinhang, GONG Zhengqi
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(5): 9-9.
    Based on the provincial panel data of 31 provinces, autonomous regions and cities in mainland China from 2012 to 2021, this paper analyzed the income-boosting effect and pathway of digital inclusive finance for rural households through the combined double fixed model and moderation effect model. The research findings showed that digital inclusive finance could significantly promote the improvement of rural household income; the “access to finance” and “access to information” both had a positive moderating effect on the income-boosting effect of digital inclusive finance for rural households, the heterogeneity analysis showed that the positive impact of digital inclusive finance coverage on rural household income was the most significant, and the positive effect of digital inclusive finance development on rural households with low education level was more significant. This paper plays a positive and constructive role in promoting rural revitalization, increasing rural household income, and narrowing the urban-rural income gap.
  • Agro-pastoral economy
    CHEN Qinglin, XIE Yanming, ZHANG Liangang
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(4): 38-44.
    Farmer cooperatives have both economic and social functions, and are the organizational carriers for promoting agricultural efficiency and farmers’ income. In recent years, the development of farmer cooperatives has shown considerable changes in membership heterogeneity, and the impact of this change on the performance of cooperatives needs to be studied in depth. This paper is based on 403 cooperatives samples in Yibin City, Sichuan Province, this study analyzed the dual effects of multidimensional member heterogeneity on the economic and social performance of cooperatives. The research indicated that the returning identity of leader farmers, the number of family farm members, and the establishment of primary-level Party organizations significantly positively affected the economic and social performance of farmer cooperatives. Therefore, it is necessary to encourage and support returning farmers to establish cooperatives independently, support the integrated and innovative development of “cooperatives + family farms” and promote the inter-embedded development of “cooperatives + party branches”.
  • Rural revitalization
    WU Yangwei, ZHANG Xingyu, LI Xiaodan
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(4): 19-28.
    The rural revitalization strategy provides opportunities for college students to find employment in rural areas. Encouraging rural college students to serve the countryside is not only beneficial for solving employment problems but also for rural revitalization. Firstly, this paper uses questionnaire survey data, analyze the willingness of rural college students to serve rural areas, and empirically test the influencing factors of willingness to serve rural areas. Secondly, it has found that rural college students have significantly increased their willingness to serve rural areas due to factors such as rural development prospects, cost of living, perception of urban employment pressure, and understanding of rural employment policies; The perception of urban driving factors such as urban living and working environment, salary and benefits, work status and face, and the perception of rural driving factors such as rural work salary and benefits, living and working environment, work status and face, all significantly inhibit the generation of their willingness to serve rural areas. Thirdly, the impact of personal factors such as human capital and social capital on the willingness to serve rural areas shows differences, and the intermediate hindering factor, urban-rural cultural differences, inhibits the improvement of willingness to serve rural areas. Finally, it summarizes the conclusion and proposes suggestions.
  • Agro-pastoral economy
    XIONG Yuchen, DANG Guoying
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(3): 24-33.
    The close integration of digital economy with rural development provides opportunities for the green and low-carbon transformation of agriculture. This study used the panel data of 62 prefecture-level cities in the Yellow River Basin from 2011 to 2021,empirically examined the effect, mechanism, and regional heterogeneity of digital economy on carbon emissions using fixed-effect model,mediating effect model and threshold effect model. The research found that the development of digital economy had significant negative effects on agricultural carbon emissions,and industrial structure upgrading played an obvious intermediary role in the transmission mechanism of digital economy promoting agricultural carbon emission reductions. In addition, digital economy had threshold effects on regional agricultural carbon emissions. The agricultural carbon emission reduction effects were stronger in regions with relatively advanced digital economy development level and industrial structure upgrading level. Regional regression had clear regional heterogeneity. The agricultural carbon emission reduction effect of digital economy was more significant in the middle and downstream regions. The agricultural carbon emission reduction effect of the downstream was stronger than that in the middle stream because of the “digital dividend”.
  • Agro-pastoral economy
    MA Ming, FENG Yidan, HE Ying, SONG Yi
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(4): 64-71.
    It is of great significance for ensuring food security, promoting the protection and sustainable use of cultivated land resources to quantitatively analysis the multifunctional spatiotemporal differentiation pattern and its changing characteristics of cultivated land in Anhui Province, and reveal relevant influencing factors. The methods, such as entropy method, GIS spatial visualization analysis, and grey correlation degree method, are used in this paper to study the spatiotemporal differentiation and influencing factors of multifunctional farmland from 2000 to 2020 in Anhui Province. The results of this study indicate that: (1)The trend of changes in various functions of cultivated land is not the same, with a significant increase in grain production and economic contribution functions year by year, while ecological maintenance functions and social security functions are gradually showing a downward trend; (2)There are significant differences in the spatial distribution of multifunctional farmland, with high levels of grain production functions distributed in the northern Anhui plain, high levels of economic contribution functions mainly distributed in the southern Anhui mountainous areas, high levels of ecological maintenance functions located in the Yangtze River plain, and high levels of social security functions mainly located in the Yangtze River plain and southern Anhui mountainous areas;(3)The main influencing factors are shifting from natural geographical conditions such as per capita arable land area and land reclamation rate to social, economic, and agricultural technological conditions such as urbanization rate, per capita disposable income of rural residents, and total driving force of agricultural mechanization. The above results provide important theoretical support to formulate regional differentiation and diversification policies for farmland protection and utilization in Anhui Province.
  • Agro-pastoral economy
    HE Yixin, MAI Qiangsheng
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(4): 56-63.
    In the market with more and more transparent risk information, new agricultural business entities have emerged an important force in promoting agricultural and rural development. This paper was based on the risk warning information data of 11 760 new agricultural business entities collected and collated by the third-party data platform, this paper studied the impact of different types of risk warnings on the survival time of new agricultural business entities. The results showed that:(1)Regulatory risk, judicial risk and operation warning helped prolong the survival time of new agricultural business entities to a certain extent; (2)Risk warning had strong positive effects on the survival time of family farms and large farmers, but had weaker effects on agricultural enterprises and farmers’ professional cooperatives;(3) The promotion effects of risk warning on the survival time were weaker on new agricultural business entities in higher density correlation relationships. Therefore, the regulatory authorities should make full use of the risk warning function of the third-party platform to promote the timely and efficient rectification of new agricultural business entities, improve their development quality, and extend their business life.
  • Special article
    ZHANG Yujia, XIU Changbai, HAN Chang, ZHONG Yi, Siqinmenghe
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(6): 3-10.
    New quality productivity is a strong driving force to promote the Party and the country’s various undertakings to achieve high-quality development in the new era, but also to promote the modernization of agriculture and rural development is an important support, which plays a key role in leading the development of modern large-scale agriculture and realizing the green and low-carbon transformation. On 10-11 August 2024, development Institute of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, Inner Mongolia Agricultural University and Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region Academy of Agriculture and Animal Husbandry organized experts and scholars in the industry to carry out seminars and exchanges around the theme of “Modernization of Forestry, Animal Husbandry, Fishery and Grassland Industry with New Productivity”, discussing the current situation of modernization of forestry, animal husbandry, fishery and grassland industries and how to develop new productivity to promote modernization of forestry, animal husbandry, fishery and grassland industries. Wei Houkai, President of China Association of Forestry, Animal Husbandry and Fishery Economics, Zhang Junbiao, Vice President of Zhejiang Rural Revitalization Research Institute of Zhejiang Agricultural and Forestry University, Liu Can, Deputy Director of Development Research Center of State Forestry and Grassland Administration, Xin Guochang, Deputy Director of Bureau of Animal Husbandry and Veterinary Medicine of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, and Chen Jie, Deputy Director of Rural Economy Research Center of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Economy delivered keynote speeches on five aspects of the conference including modernized large-scale agriculture, green and low-carbon development of agriculture, high-quality development of forestry, development of the livestock industry and modernization of the fishery industry. The conference set up special forums on forestry economy, aquaculture economy, grass economy, young scholars, master’s and doctoral students, and international students to discuss how to promote the modernization of forestry, animal husbandry, fishery and grassland industries in the field. On the morning of 11 August in the animal husbandry economy and policy forum, the Inner Mongolia Academy of Agricultural and Animal Husbandry Science Think Tank Chief Scientist, Professor Xiu Changbai and other eight well-known experts around the development of animal husbandry made a special report. In the afternoon of August 11, the conference also held a “Seminar on Agricultural Development Strategy of Yuquan District, Hohhot”, in which the participating consulting experts put forward valuable suggestions for the agricultural and economic development of Yuquan District in Hohhot from various perspectives such as the positioning of urban agriculture development and the integration of agriculture, culture and tourism development. In view of this, this special issue contains a compilation of the opinions and suggestions of experts and scholars, with a view to stimulating further reflection on the modernization and development of forestry, animal husbandry and fishery in the academic community.
  • Agro-pastoral economy
    MEI Zefeng
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(5): 82-88.
    Based on the panel data of 30 provinces , autonomous regions and cities(except Xizang Autonomous Region, Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan) in China from 2011 to 2020, this paper empirically examined the impact effect and mechanism of digital economy on high-quality agricultural development by using the two-way fixed effect model and the mediation effect model. The results showed that the digital economy could effectively promote the high-quality development of agriculture in China, and the promotion effect was more obvious in the eastern region. At the same time, the results of the intermediary effect test showed that the digital economy could improve the level of high-quality agricultural development by promoting the transfer of farmland and increasing the proportion of agricultural fixed asset investment. To this end, it is necessary to increase investment in the research and development of digital technology, accelerate the construction process of digital villages, improve the standardization of land transfer procedures, and establish a good credit platform to promote high-quality agricultural development.
  • Agro-pastoral economy
    DENG Liqian
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(5): 73-81.
    Agriculture is the cornerstone of maintaining social stability and promoting economic development. The strengthening of agricultural economy resilience is conducive to the high-quality development of the agricultural industry, and has important practical significance for promoting rural revitalization and realizing agricultural modernization. Taking 14 cities and autonomous prefectures in Hunan Province as research samples, the entropy method was used to comprehensively measure the agricultural economic resilience of each city and autonomous prefecture from 2008 to 2021. The index and decomposition were used to explore the difference characteristics and sources of agricultural economic resilience, and on this basis, the influencing factors of agricultural economic resilience were analyzed with geographical detectors. The results showed that from 2008 to 2021, the level of agricultural economic resilience of all cities and autonomous prefectures in Hunan Province had improved rapidly, among which the mean value of agricultural economic resilience of Changsha City was the highest, and that of Zhangjiajie City was the lowest; During the study period, the overall difference of agricultural economic resilience in Hunan Province decreased year by year, and intra-regional difference contributed the most to the overall difference; Agricultural economic scale, production factor input, government support and regional market environment are the main influencing factors of agricultural economic resilience in Hunan Province.Therefore,it is necessary to continue to increase the scale of agricultural economy,the input of agricultural production factors and the implementation of government support,stabilize the market environment,coordinate the coordinated and stable development of agricultural economic resilience of each cities and autonomous prefectures,in order to continuously improve the internal driving force of agricultural economic resilience in Hunan Province.
  • Agro-pastoral economy
    REN Pengyue, Siqinmenghe, Du Fulin
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(3): 44-50.
    In order to clarify the impact of loan amount on herdsmen household income, this article surveyed herdsmen households in cashmere goats core breeding area in Ordos City from 2020 to 2022 and explored the impact mechanisms using the random effect model and mediation effect tests. The results showed that the amount of herdsmen household loans in the Ordos region not only directly promoted their operational income, but also indirectly promoted operational income by increasing animal husbandry expenditure. Animal husbandry expenditure had significant mediating effects between herdsmen household loans and income. There was a mechanism of “herdsmen household loan - animal husbandry expenditure - income increase”. In view of this, the local financial institutions should vigorously develop productive loans for herdsmen to meet the animal husbandry expenditure;local governments and social organizations should actively train herdsmen to use loan funds reasonably, provide guarantees for their loans, encourage finance companies to issue agricultural and animal husbandry loans, and provide credit and loan support for herdsmen household animal husbandry production.
  • Special article
    ZHANG Yujia, XIU Changbai, ZHONG Yi, HAN Chang, Siqinmenghe
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(5): 3-6.
    Agriculture and animal husbandry is the foundation of economic and social development in Inner Mongolia, directly related to the common prosperity of farmers and herdsmen and the coordinated development of urban and rural areas. Since the 18th CPC National Congress, the development momentum of Inner Mongolia's agriculture and animal husbandry has been strong, and it has become the country's “grain depot”“meat depot”“milk cans”and“velvet are”. It plays an important role in guaranteeing the stable and safe supply of national food and important agricultural products. However, the development of agriculture and animal husbandry in Inner Mongolia has received extensive attention from government departments and experts and scholars due to the prominent problems such as tightening resource and environmental constraints, weak agricultural infrastructure, low degree of integration of the three industries, weak scientific and technological support capacity, imperfect agricultural insurance system and so on.On July 12-14, 2024,the Agricultural Modernization Branch of China Association of Agricultural Science Societies, the Inner Mongolia Agricultural Economics Society and Inner Mongolia Academy of Agriculture and Animal Husbandry Sciences organized industry experts and scholars to discuss and exchange the development strategies of agriculture and animal husbandry in Inner Mongolia. The goal was to provide guidance for Inner Mongolia to complete the task of“construction of national important agricultural and livestock products production base”, to carry the major political responsibility of guaranteeing national food security, and to accelerate the construction of agricultural and animal husbandry strong area. In view of those, this feature collated the views and suggestions of experts and scholars, in order to cause the further reflection on agiculture and animal husbandry in Inner Mongolia.
  • Agro-pastoral economy
    TENG Jiamin, LIAO Jingping, YUAN Dongyu
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(5): 55-63.
    Exploring the prices fluctuation risk of swine industry chain is related to the healthy operation of macro economy and the guarantee of residents' welfare. The prices of the swine industry chain from January 2000 to December 2022 were selected as the research data. Firstly, three mutation points in the swine industry chain were obtained through BP structure mutation point test, which were July 2007, July 2015 and August 2019, respectively. Then, non-parametric kernel density estimation method was used to estimate the price risk changes before and after the three mutation points. The results showed that compared to Jaly 2007 and July 2015, the fluctuation risk of price series before and after August 2019 had changed significantly. Among them, the probability of risk changes in live swine prices was the highest, reaching 41.29%; the probability of risk changes in pork prices was 40.20%, which lightly lower than that of live swine; the probability of risk changes for piglets was 18.11%.Based on this, the heterogeneity of price fluctuation risk in the swine industry chain was analyzed and relevant policy suggestions were put forward.
  • Agro-pastoral economy
    YANG Ruiming, LIU Zongliu, WANG Fuji, ZHENG Yulan, HE Yusheng
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(4): 45-55.
    This paper used the data from the Xiamen Special Economic Zone Yearbook (2011—2022) as the research sample, a partial least squares regression analysis method was used to construct a partial least squares regression model for the relationship between urbanization and the total output value of agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery, labor resources, financial support for agriculture funds, and disposable income of farmers in Xiamen. Empirical analysis was conducted on the relationship between urbanization and coordinated development of agricultural economy in Xiamen. The obtained model was then tested and showed strong explanatory power for urbanization. Among the selected indicators, per capita disposable income of rural residents, agricultural output value, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery services, labor resources, and financial support for agriculture had significant impacts on urbanization and were the main influencing factors for urbanization development. The research results indicated that the output value of fisheries had some explanatory effects on urbanization, but had negative effects on the development of urbanization. The output value of animal husbandry had no significant impact on urbanization development, indicating that the production capacity of animal husbandry was still relatively low. Therefore, suggestions were proposed that Xiamen should actively explore the development model of smart animal husbandry and fishery, accelerate the transformation of fishery production, and steadily expand modern aquaculture; precise plan the pig farming scale and moderately improve the pork self-sufficiency rate, to provide reasonable references for achieving urban-rural integration development and implementing rural revitalization strategy.
  • Rural revitalization
    WANG Xin, HOU Xiaofei, NIU Yaqun, WANG Rui
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(5): 18-25.
    The integration of fruit industrial and tourism industrial is an important part of rural cultural and tourism development, and is an important path for fruit tree planting areas in Shanxi Province to achieve rural revitalization and common prosperity. By analyzing the planting area, yield and layout characteristics of orchards in 26 fruit industry cluster counties in Shanxi Province, it was found that the fruit industry cluster areas in Shanxi Province were distributed in basins and hilly areas, forming a pattern with Linyi as the core, Yuncheng as the main production area, Shanxi Province's low altitude north-south ecological corridor as the axis, Jinzhong as the secondary core area, and Changzhi, Datong and Linfen as the radiating areas. On the basis of analyzing the current situation of the integration of fruit industrial and tourism industrial, the development level of integration between fruit and tourism industries was evaluated through location quotient, entropy weight method, coupled scheduling and grey correlation method. It was found that the integration between fruit and tourism industries was still in its infancy, and the connection between fruit and tourism was not close. Thus, this paper summarized the development trend of fruit and tourism industries indtegration in Shanxi Province's fruit industry cluster area. Based on the above research results, this paper provided targeted suggestions to optimize the path of fruit and tourism industrial indtegration in Shanxi Province.
  • Rural revitalization
    MA Shaohua
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(6): 21-28.
    Agricultural enterprises are the backbone of the overall promotion rural revitalization, and have obvious advantages in perfecting the rural industrial system, raising the level of agricultural science and technology, and driving farmers to increase income. Based on the perspective of value co-creation, this paper take the practice of participation in rural revitalization of Wynn Food Group Co., Ltd., as an example to explore the action logic of agricultural enterprises in rural revitalization. The results of the study showed that agricultural enterprises were deeply involved in rural revitalization along the action logic of “value proposition—value creation—value sharing”, whose value propositions for participation in rural revitalization were diversified. Driven by diversified value propositions, it continuously created economic, environmental and social values through technological innovation, industrial chain upgrading, model innovation of uniting and promoting agriculture. and participation in rural construction, etc. It also achieved win-win value through the construction of formal and informal systems, and ultimately promoted the comprehensive rural revitalization.
  • Ecological and environmental protection
    PENG Xiaojia, WANG Yalei, LIU Tong, XU Yue
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(3): 105-112.
    Under the macroscopical background of green and sustainable development, exploring the perception of environmental protection taxes by livestock and poultry breeding entities has important and urgent practical significance for promoting the resource utilization of livestock and poultry manure. This study used data from a survey of 910 livestock and poultry breeding entities in Hunan Province from January to March 2023 as research sample to study the relationship between the perception of environmental protection tax and the resource utilization behavior of livestock and poultry manure. The results indicated that the perception of environmental protection tax and its subdivision dimensions had significant positive impacts on the resource utilization behavior of livestock and poultry manure by large scale farms and farmers, but the degree of influence varied. Age, the proportion farming income to total income had significant positive impacts on the resource utilization behavior of livestock and poultry farming entities. Based on this, the following suggestions were proposed: the government and relevant organizations should fully fulfill their propaganda functions and expand propaganda channels; improve the economic value of products, expand the market for resource-based products, and promote the resource utilization of livestock and poultry manure.
  • Agro-pastoral economy
    HE Lingling, LIN Miaochan
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(3): 93-97.
    The modernization of agriculture and rural areas is an important task in the basic realization of socialist modernization in China. However, due to the unbalanced development of agricultural and rural modernization in different regions, it is necessary to take differentiated measures to promote the process of agricultural and rural modernization in accordance with the actual situation in each region. Based on the unique geographic location, complexity of rural society, and diversity of agricultural production in the China and Vietnam border areas, this paper scientifically analyzed the current challenges facing the China and Vietnam border areas in promoting the modernization of agriculture and rural areas, concluded that we should promote the modernization of agriculture and rural areas in four aspects: strengthening the construction of infrastructure, optimizing the efficiency of resource allocation and speed up the development of industrial integration, increasing the expansion of the collective economy and promoting the diversified development of the countryside, and strengthening the strategy of talents support and stimulating the enthusiasm of talents, in order to provide assistance in formulating precise and effective policy measures to promote the healthy and rapid development of agriculture and rural areas in border areas.
  • Ecological and environmental protection
    LI Zheng, TAN Renyuan, SHEN Chuanshun
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(5): 102-112.
    This paper utilized panel data of 30 provinces, autonomous regions and cities (except Xizang Autonomous Region, Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan) from 2010 to 2019, to measure the degree of coupling coordination between government and public environmental attention. It empirically tested their impacts on agricultural carbon emissions and the mechanisms. The results revealed that the increase in government and public environmental attention could suppress agricultural carbon emissions, with the inhibitory effect of government environmental attention being greater than that of public environmental attention. Further analysis indicated there was regional heterogeneity in the impacts of government and public environmental attention on agricultural carbon emissions. Both types of attention suppressed agricultural carbon emissions by promoting formal and informal environmental regulations. Consequently, this paper suggested differentiated strategies for adjusting environmental attention.
  • Agro-pastoral economy
    ZHU Xinxin, YANG Yuanyi
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(3): 59-66.
    The key development and opening up pilot zone is an important “test field” for building a new system of open economy at a higher level in China’s border areas, and is of great significance for promoting the high-quality trade development in China’s border areas. This study took the construction of key development and opening up pilot zones as the natural experiment,used the DID model to test the influence of key development and opening up pilot zone policies on high-quality trade development in border areas. The study found that the construction of key development and opening up pilot zones can significantly promote the high-quality development of trade in the border areas. This conclusion was still valid after parallel trend test,placebo test and counterfactual test. The conclusion of this study provides useful enlightenment for further expanding the scope of key development and opening up pilot zones,promoting the high-quality development of trade in border areas, and promoting the construction of a new pattern of all-round,multi-level and wide-field opening-up in China.
  • Agro-pastoral economy
    SHUN Deri, DING Ji
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(6): 29-38.
    Based on panel data for 30 provinces in China, excluding the Xizang Autonomous Region and Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan from 2011 to 2021, this study constructs a comprehensive evaluation index system to measure the level of new quality productivity and agricultural economic resilience, followed by exploring the effect and mechanism of the influence of new quality productivity on the agricultural economic resilience by means of the bidirectional fixed effect model and the mediation model. The results of the study showed that new quality productivity significantly increased the level of agricultural economic resilience and the finding still holds after a series of robustness tests. Further analysis revealed that new productivity mainly enhances resilience by strengthening the resistance and recovery capabilities of the agricultural economy. In addition, it was also found that new productivity could empower the resilience of the agricultural economy by promoting the upgrading of the rural consumption structure and enhancing the entrepreneurial vitality of rural residents, which possessed a significant role in promoting the resilience of the agricultural economy in both food-producing and non-food-producing areas, with food-producing areas being stronger than non-food-producing areas. Based on these, it is suggested to create a favorable environment for the development of new quality productivity, promote deep integration of new quality productivity with the agricultural economy, formulate differentiated agricultural development policies, and accelerate the realization of the strategic goal of a strong agricultural country.
  • Agro-pastoral economy
    HOU Xiaohuan, SUN Hongxia
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(3): 76-84.
    The key to rural revitalization lies in industrial revitalization. Rural industry integration is one of the important means to change the mode of economic development, optimize the industrial system and solve the “three rural” issues. Based on TOE analysis framework, this study discussed the factors influencing the integration and development of rural industries from the dimensions of technology, organization,and environment, and used fuzzy set qualitative comparative analysis (fsQCA) to conduct empirical tests on the panel data of 30 provinciel administrative regions in China (except Tibet, Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan) in 2020 and 2021. According to the configuration results, the configuration path to improve the level of rural industry integration and development was analyzed. The results showed that: (1) Digital technology, technological innovation, urbanization, non-agriculturalization of industrial institutions, government support and rural electricity consumption level were important factors affecting the integrated development of rural industries; (2) There were four configuration paths that can produce high levels of rural industry integration and development, and digital technology was the core element of all configuration paths. The research conclusion revealed the complex causal relationship of the integrated development of rural industries, had high theoretical and practical value for transforming the mode of rural economic development and realizing industrial transformation and upgrading.
  • Agro-pastoral economy
    WANG Xiaoyan, MAI Qiangsheng
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(5): 47-54.
    With the development of regional economy integration and the agriculture modernization, the role of agricultural outward investment in agricultural product trade is becoming increasingly prominent. Based on the agricultural trade data between China and RCEP countries from 2004 to 2019, the VAR model was used to further analyze the impact of China's agricultural OFDI on agricultural trade among RCEP member countries. The research suggestsd that in the long run, China's outward foreign direct investment in agriculture would give China a sustained positive impact on agricultural trade with other RCEP member countries, and there was heterogeneity in the magnitude of the impact of China's outward agricultural investment on different member countries; China's agricultural OFDI would promote agricultural cooperation and development in RCEP economies. Therefore, it is recommended that powerful agricultural enterprises should actively “go global” and flexibly adjust the foreign investment strategies based on trade conditions to maximize the sustained growth of agricultural product trade in the RCEP economy.
  • Agro-pastoral economy
    LIU Meiling, REN Xiufeng
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(4): 100-106.
    High-quality agricultural development is the only way for agricultural development in Yunnan Province. Accelerating the construction of a strong agricultural province with characteristics and promoting the coordinated development of rural finance and agricultural modernization have become the key measures to realize rural revitalization. This paper uses the entropy value method to measure the 16 prefectires and cities of Yunnan Province of rural finance and agricultural.