ZHAO Xianghao, CAO Lulu, WANG Haofan, SUN Peilei
Modern Agriculture. 2026, 51(2): 1-18.
Against the backdrop of Chinese-style modernization, building a livable, business-friendly and harmonious village in addressing unbalanced regional development in Xinjiang plays a critical role in achieving common prosperity and long-term stability. Based on panel data of 14 prefectures and cities in Xinjiang from 2013 to 2023, this paper divided the research area into Beijiang (Northern Xinjiang) and Nanjiang (Southern Xinjiang). By constructing an evaluation index system for the construction level of a livable, business-friendly and harmonious village, this paper employed the entropy-weight TOPSIS method to measure the rural construction level of each prefecture and city, and used the Dagum Gini coefficient, kernel density estimation, and Markov chain to systematically analyze its regional differences and spatiotemporal evolution characteristics. The results showed that: from the perspective of overall changes, the construction level of a harmonious village in Xinjiang presented a fluctuating upward trend during the study period. The construction level in Beijiang was consistently higher than that in Nanjiang, but Nanjiang enjoyed a faster growth rate, leading to a gradual narrowing of the regional development gap. In terms of sources of differences, the overall Gini coefficient was relatively low and slightly increased, and regional development remained generally balanced. The Gini coefficient of Beijiang was higher than that of Nanjiang, and the development gap between Beijiang and Nanjiang showed a pattern of "first narrowing and then expanding". The significant differences mainly stemmed from intra-regional disparities within Beijiang and Nanjiang, followed by inter-regional differences, while hypervariable density exerted the least influence. From the perspective of evolutionary characteristics, the kernel density distribution was multi-peaked. The construction level of a livable, business-friendly and harmonious village in Xinjiang was highly stable, which had been mainly improved step by step and faced significant difficulty in achieving cross-level leaps. In terms of spatial evolution, the evolution trend in Beijiang was more favorable than that in Nanjiang. Accordingly, implementing targeted regional policies and promoting differentiated coordinated development, fostering characteristic industrial clusters in Beijiang and Nanjiang, promoting the two-way flow of urban-rural factors and balancing the allocation of public resources, and establishing a guarantee system for talent introduction and training can effectively boost high-quality rural development in Xinjiang. It is of great practical significance to solve the problem of unbalanced regional development and consolidate the foundation for long-term stability.