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  • Special article
    ZHAO Chunjiang
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(3): 3-7.
    Livestock industry is an important industry related to national economy and people’s livelihood, is the pillar industry of agricultural and rural economy, and is a strategic industry to ensure food security and residents’ life. Inner Mongolia as China’s important natural pastures and animal husbandry base, promoted the construction of national important agricultural and livestock products production base in recent years, has become an important national “granary”,“meat warehouse”,“milk can”, and“cashmere city”. The grain production ranks sixth in the country. 1/2 of cashmere and products, 1/4 of mutton, 1/6 of milk, and 1/10 of beef in the country come from Inner Mongolia. Based on the development practice of modern livestock husbandry both domestically and internationally, this study analyzed the current situation and typical cases of livestock husbandry in Inner Mongolia, clarified the key problems faced by the development of modern livestock husbandry in Inner Mongolia, and proposed key paths for the development of modern livestock husbandry in Inner Mongolia.
  • Agro-pastoral economy
    LI Wenbin, ZENG Li, YU Hongbo, LI Lianying
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(3): 67-75.
    Based on unified theory of acceptance and use of technology 2(UTAUT2)and perceived value-based adoption model(VAM)theories, this study analyzed 535 research data to empirically test the influencing factors of consumers’ willingness to purchase on fresh food e-commerce platforms under the new retail model. The results showed that hedonic motivation is a crucial factor influencing consumers’ willingness to purchase, followed by perceived value, effort expectation, and social influence. Hedonic motivation, effort expectation and facilitating condition had significant positive effects on consumers’ perceived value, and the effects decreased in order. At the same time, perceived value played a mediating role in hedonic motivation, effort expectation and facilitating condition on consumers’ willingness to purchase. Hedonic motivation and effort expectation had effects on consumers’ performance expectation, but the effect of performance expectation on consumers’ perceived value was not significant. Accordingly, fresh food e-commerce platforms should improve the ability of refined operation, create all-weather consumption experience, improve the efficiency of platform function, focus on word-of-mouth marketing, improve the traceability mechanism, improve the perceived value of consumption, and then increase the willingness of consumers to purchase.
  • Agro-pastoral economy
    FENG Chunyan, GAO Hongtao
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(3): 85-92.
    The modern rural industrial system is the fundamental and supportive system for building an agricultural powerhouse. Through in-depth research and analysis of the rural industrial system in Qingdao, the insights and relevant suggestions for construction of modern rural industrial system were obtained. Research suggested that to accelerate the construction of a modern rural industrial system, the following approaches can be taken: improve the rural industrial system with a full industry chain thinking, promote the integrated development of the primary, secondary, and tertiary industries in rural areas through strengthening, supplementing, and extending the chain; promote the intensive development of rural industrial system through area construction, cluster development, and distinctive thinking; actively building regional public and regional brands to promote the upgrading of rural industries; deepening the reform of rural collective property rights system to promote the healthy development of modern rural industrial system; fully leverage the main role of farmers, strengthen the construction of talent teams, and promote the development of rural industries.
  • Ecological and environmental protection
    LI Pengcheng, YANG Haizhen
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(3): 98-104.
    Grassland, known as the “skin of the earth”, is the largest ecological protection barrier on land, which provides a lot of ecological product value. This study took Tianjun County, Haixi Mongolian and Tibetan Autonomous Prefecture, in the alpine region of Qinghai Province as an example, constructed a differentiated ecological product value accounting system based on the characteristics of rich grassland resource endowment. From three aspects of material supply, regulation service and cultural service, this paper used the water balance method and soil loss equation to calculate the value of grassland ecological products in Tianjun County, and proposed the value transformation path of grassland ecological products. The results showed that the realization of the grassland ecological products value in Tianjun County mainly relied on ecological protection and ecological compensation. The total value of ecological products of grassland ecosystem in Tianjun County was around 15.206 billion yuan, of which the value of material supply was around 360 million yuan, accounting for around 2.37% of the total value, the value of regulation services was around 14.422 billion yuan, accounting for around 94.84% of the total value. Among the regulation service value, the value of local climate regulation> water conservation> carbon sequestration and oxygen release> soil conservation value. The value of cultural services was around 424 million yuan, accounting for around 2.79% of the total value. The value of grassland ecological product regulation service was the largest, which was in line with the provincial positioning of “three largest” and the characteristics of resource endowment in alpine region of Qinghai Province. By exploring the value accounting of grassland ecological products, this paper is helpful for the government to formulate ecological compensation policies, promote the rational utilization and sustainable development of resources, and provide references for the protection and high-quality development of grassland resources.
  • Agro-pastoral economy
    PENG Qiang, WANG Jingjing, CHEN Wenbo
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(3): 51-58.
    This study selected data related to agricultural product export in Xinjiang from 2004 to 2022, constructed a high-quality agricultural product export development evaluation index system covering the five dimensions of innovation, coordination, green, open and sharing based on new development concept, and measured the high-quality development of agricultural product export in Xinjiang. The study concluded that the level of high-quality development of Xinjiang agricultural product export improved from 2004 to 2022; the green development index showed an upward trend, the innovation development index rose first and then declined, and the coordination development index, the sharing development index, and the opening development index were in the rising state. Among these, the innovation development index declined significantly, was an important factor restricting the high-quality development of Xinjiang agricultural product export. The green development index was an important factor contributing to the high-quality development of Xinjiang agricultural product export. In addition, the study found that the main factors affecting the high-quality development of Xinjiang agricultural product export also included insufficient export competitiveness and advantages, low dependence on foreign trade and small international market share, high export market concentration, and insufficient ability to drive employment. Based on the above research, Xinjiang should establish an agricultural employment subsidy policy in the new development stage, strengthen the reserve force for agricultural development; continue to promote the innovation and development of agricultural science and technology platforms, cultivate new kinetic energy and new advantages for the development of agricultural products export; and seize the opportunity of the “One Belt, One Road”, realize the high-quality development of agricultural products export.
  • Rural revitalization
    WEI Xiaoxuan, CAI Dingkun
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(3): 8-13.
    The basis of rural revitalization is the revitalization of rural industries. Industrial integration is an important way to realize the revitalization of rural industries. By systematically combing the experience of the “Sixth Industry Promotion” development, it was summarized that: taking “agriculture, rural areas and farmers” as the center, making full use of regional characteristics, promoting the backward integration of the industrial chain, and leave the value of the industrial chain in the countryside. On the basis of analyzing the development reality of Yunnan Plateau characteristic agriculture, based on the development status of Yunnan Plateau characteristic agriculture and the experience of Japanese agricultural development, this study put forward measures to promote the development of Yunnan Plateau characteristic agriculture.
  • Special article
    DU Fulin
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(4): 3-8.
    In order to implement thoroughly the opinions on the promotion of high-quality development of Inner Mongolia strive to write a new chapter of Chinese-style modernization, Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region focuses on the primary task of achieving high-quality development of agriculture and animal husbandry,and comprehensively constructs a new pattern of high-quality development of modern agriculture and animal husbandry. At present, pastoral development has once again come to a new historical turning point. Whether to continue maintaining the low-level quantitative development model of protecting while overgrazing, or to choose a new high-level and high-quantity modernization path that can achieve a harmonious coexistence between humans and nature, has become a major choice for Inner Mongolia pastoral areas.This is a severe test to be withstood in order to fully utilize the ecological barrier function and safety and stability barrier function of the north, and to ensure the stable and safe supply of green agricultural and livestock products.It is also a historic new proposition bestowed given by the new era.
  • Agro-pastoral economy
    WEI Zhucai, CHEN Jianghua, LI Daohe
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(1): 35-45.
    Based on 2016 China Labor Force Dynamics Survey (CLDS) data, this paper empirically analyzed the impact of farmland titling on farmers' subjective well-being and its mechanisms by constructing an ordered Probit model and a mediating effect model. The results showed that farmland titling significantly increased farmers' subjective well-being. Farmers with confirmed titling had higher subjective well-being compared with those without confirmed titling. The results of robustness test indicated that the findings were reliable. The mediating effect analysis revealed that the mechanisms of farmland titling promoting farmers' subjective well-being were increasing agricultural income and reducing household mortgage debts. The results of the heterogeneity analysis showed that the effects of farmland titling increasing farmers' subjective well-being were mainly manifested in the samples from farmers with good health status, villages in hilly and mountainous area and eastern regions. Therefore, we should keep advancing the rural land system reform, consolidate the achievements of farmland titling, further promote land transfer, highlight the productive function of farmland, and continuously enhance the subjective well-being of farmers.
  • Rural revitalization
    XIONG Wantong, LI Qi, WEN Yingxian, MOU Zhixuan
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(4): 9-18.
    The strategy of rural revitalization is a major decision and deployment of the CPC for the work of “agriculture, rural areas and farmers” in the new era. Rational choice is a process of coupling with the goal of rural revitalization. Through field investigation in Yantang Village, Wulong District, Chongqing City, this paper analyzed the development achievements and predicaments from five dimensions of economic rationality, life rationality, cultural rationality, ecological rationality and social rationality, pointed out that the development of Yantang Village should coordinate from economy, organization, talent, culture and improve from the coordination of industrial upgrading and development, gathering professional talents for retention and education, stimulate farmers’ subjective consciousness and improve the efficiency of cultural supply.
  • Rural revitalization
    WU Yangwei, ZHANG Xingyu, LI Xiaodan
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(4): 19-28.
    The rural revitalization strategy provides opportunities for college students to find employment in rural areas. Encouraging rural college students to serve the countryside is not only beneficial for solving employment problems but also for rural revitalization. Firstly, this paper uses questionnaire survey data, analyze the willingness of rural college students to serve rural areas, and empirically test the influencing factors of willingness to serve rural areas. Secondly, it has found that rural college students have significantly increased their willingness to serve rural areas due to factors such as rural development prospects, cost of living, perception of urban employment pressure, and understanding of rural employment policies; The perception of urban driving factors such as urban living and working environment, salary and benefits, work status and face, and the perception of rural driving factors such as rural work salary and benefits, living and working environment, work status and face, all significantly inhibit the generation of their willingness to serve rural areas. Thirdly, the impact of personal factors such as human capital and social capital on the willingness to serve rural areas shows differences, and the intermediate hindering factor, urban-rural cultural differences, inhibits the improvement of willingness to serve rural areas. Finally, it summarizes the conclusion and proposes suggestions.
  • Agro-pastoral economy
    GUO Ruijing, XIE Yanming, LIU Shuaishi, HAO Junfeng, HUANG Sisi
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(4): 29-37.
    Family farms represent the leading direction of China’s agricultural management mode and are the backbone of food production. This paper is based on the survey data of 514 family farms in Yunnan Province, this paper established an evaluation index system of family farm capital endowment. On the basis of analyzing the characteristics of family farm capital endowment by entropy method and single factor analysis of variance, it further explored the influence of various types of capital endowment on the “grain-oriented” of heterogeneous family farms by using binary Logit model and Tobit model. The results showed that: (1) the degree of “grain-oriented” in family farms was low, with 56% of the farms growing grain and 39.3% of the farming area; The comprehensive capital endowment score is 0.337, and the scores of various capital endowments are human capital endowment, financial capital endowment, natural capital endowment and physical capital endowment in descending order. (2)Comprehensive capital endowment has a significant negative impact on the “grain-oriented” of family farms, in which financial capital endowment has a significant negative impact and natural capital endowment has a significant positive impact.(3)There are significant differences in the influence of different capital endowments on the “grain-oriented” of heterogeneous family farms. According to this, it is recommended to implement the grain subsidy policy, improve the land transfer and farmland use supervision system, and implement classified and precise policies to promote the production and operation of family farms to “grain-oriented” and ensure national food security.
  • Agro-pastoral economy
    LIAO Xuanxiang, LI Ping
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(2): 15-25.
    Agricultural and rural modernization is an important part of Chinese-style modernization. Accelerating agricultural and rural modernization is the foundation and support for achieving the goal of agricultural powerful country. The article constructed the evaluation index system of agricultural and rural modernization based on the panel data of 31 provinces(autonomous regions) and municipalities (except Hong Kang, Macao and Taiwan) in China from 2011 to 2021,measured the level of agricultural and rural modernization of each province by entropy method,explored the spatial-temporal patterns of agricultural and rural modernization in China by spatial exploration analysis,and analyzed the main obstacles hindering the development of agricultural and rural modernization by the obstacle degree model. The study showed that: the level of agricultural and rural modernization in China was generally on a steady upward trend,with the increase in the level of modernization of rural livelihood making the greatest contribution;the areas with high levels of agricultural and rural modernization or above were mainly distributed along the east coast,while the areas with low levels or below were mainly concentrated in the southwest,northwest and northeast areas. In addition,the level of agricultural and rural modernization in China had significant spatial correlations,with the high-high agglomeration shifting from the southeast coastal regions to the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region,while the low-low agglomeration shrinking and decreasing from the west to the center. The modernization of rural governance and services,represented by the coverage rate of township cultural stations and the rate of soil erosion control,was the main source of obstacles to the development of modernization of agriculture and rural areas. The rate of farmland production,the rate of effective irrigated area and the disposable income of rural residents were also important obstacles. The findings of the study can provide references for the formulation of relevant policies to further promote agriculture and rural modernization in China.
  • Agro-pastoral economy
    XIONG Yuchen, DANG Guoying
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(3): 24-33.
    The close integration of digital economy with rural development provides opportunities for the green and low-carbon transformation of agriculture. This study used the panel data of 62 prefecture-level cities in the Yellow River Basin from 2011 to 2021,empirically examined the effect, mechanism, and regional heterogeneity of digital economy on carbon emissions using fixed-effect model,mediating effect model and threshold effect model. The research found that the development of digital economy had significant negative effects on agricultural carbon emissions,and industrial structure upgrading played an obvious intermediary role in the transmission mechanism of digital economy promoting agricultural carbon emission reductions. In addition, digital economy had threshold effects on regional agricultural carbon emissions. The agricultural carbon emission reduction effects were stronger in regions with relatively advanced digital economy development level and industrial structure upgrading level. Regional regression had clear regional heterogeneity. The agricultural carbon emission reduction effect of digital economy was more significant in the middle and downstream regions. The agricultural carbon emission reduction effect of the downstream was stronger than that in the middle stream because of the “digital dividend”.
  • Agro-pastoral economy
    HE Lingling, LIN Miaochan
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(3): 93-97.
    The modernization of agriculture and rural areas is an important task in the basic realization of socialist modernization in China. However, due to the unbalanced development of agricultural and rural modernization in different regions, it is necessary to take differentiated measures to promote the process of agricultural and rural modernization in accordance with the actual situation in each region. Based on the unique geographic location, complexity of rural society, and diversity of agricultural production in the China and Vietnam border areas, this paper scientifically analyzed the current challenges facing the China and Vietnam border areas in promoting the modernization of agriculture and rural areas, concluded that we should promote the modernization of agriculture and rural areas in four aspects: strengthening the construction of infrastructure, optimizing the efficiency of resource allocation and speed up the development of industrial integration, increasing the expansion of the collective economy and promoting the diversified development of the countryside, and strengthening the strategy of talents support and stimulating the enthusiasm of talents, in order to provide assistance in formulating precise and effective policy measures to promote the healthy and rapid development of agriculture and rural areas in border areas.
  • Special article
    JIN Hai
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(1): 3-6.
    Based on the analysis and research of the current situation of China's meat sheep industry,this paper aiming to explore a new path for the development of efficient breeding modes for house fed meat sheep in China,to provide references for further achieving high quality development of the meat sheep industry in underdeveloped regions like Inner Mongolia. The study found that the efficient breeding of meat sheep was affected by many factors such as breading planning, breeding technology, production and management mode. Breed selection,feeding technology and precise nutrition supply,standard operation procedures for disease prevention and control,supporting facilities and equipment were four factors that were particularly important. Through the breeding of multiparous multi-lamb sheep, construction of hybrid utilization system,development of light and simplified facilities and equipment,the deficiencies in breeding could be remedied. By improving the overall breeding level, enhancing the product efficiency and competitiveness of meat sheep, effectively promoting the development of China's meat sheep industry,a solid foundation could be laid for promoting the revitalization of rural industries.
  • Agro-pastoral economy
    KANG Wei, ZHANG Yan, WU Zhendong, SONG Xia
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(1): 21-27.
    Study the current situation of agricultural development in China and the United States, find out the disparities in China and the United States agricultural development, analyze the reasons and put forward policy suggestions to promote the process of agricultural modernization in China. The research showed that although China and the United States had different agricultural production practices and fundamental conditions, the development trends were similar. The disparities in China and the United States agricultural development were mainly reflected in eight aspects: production cost, scale, mechanization, science and technology, industrialization, subsidy policy, resource and environmental protection, and external dependence. Therefore, the article put forward policy suggestions on actively fostering moderate scale operations, emphasizing the development of agricultural equipment strength, continuously improving agricultural science and technology level, vigorously promoting industrial integration, refining the new agricultural management system, consistently increasing agricultural policy support, promoting green and sustainable development of agriculture, and improving the self-sufficiency of agricultural products.
  • Agro-pastoral economy
    FENG Mei, ZHANG Zhiyao, CHENG Juan, CAI Shuqing
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(3): 34-43.
    Exploring the voluntary paid withdrawal mechanism of rural homesteads and promoting further vacating and revitalization of idle homesteads are important measures to alleviate the inefficient utilization of rural land resources in China. Based on 640 survey data from farmers in Yujiang District,Jiangxi Province,this study empirically analyzed the impact mechanism of social reputation and value perception on farmers’ withdrawal behavior of homesteads,and further tested the mediating effect of value perception between social reputation and farmers’ withdrawal behavior of homesteads. The results showed that both social reputation and value perception significantly promoted farmers’ withdrawal behavior of rural homesteads,and value perception played a mediating role between social reputation and the withdrawal of rural homesteads; higher education level of the respondents or being a member of the Communist Party of China significantly increased the willingness of farmers to withdraw from their homesteads,promoted the achievement of withdrawal behavior. Based on this,it is recommended to pay attention to the external driving and internal motivating effects of social reputation and value perception in the withdrawal of rural homesteads,fully leverage the demonstration effects of“local elites”“intellectuals” and “leading cadres”, and pay attention to improving farmers’ perceived value level of rural homesteads withdrawal and enhancing their willingness to withdraw.
  • Agro-pastoral economy
    DU Peng, DONG Wenshan, ZHOU Dongxu
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(3): 14-23.
    Comprehensively explore the spatial evolution of agricultural production carbon emissions is of significant importance for formulating rational agricultural carbon reduction policies. Using agricultural carbon emission data in Shandong Province from 2000 to 2020,this study estimated the emissions and intensities across 16 regions within the province,and investigated the regional disparities, spatial-temporal patterns, and dynamic changes in agricultural carbon emissions and intensities in Shandong Province. The research findings indicated that: (1)Overall, agricultural carbon emissions across various regions exhibited a reversed U shape trend, characterized by “rise-stable fluctuation-decline” evolution trend; (2)Agricultural production carbon emission intensities in different regions showed a trend of “stable fluctuation-continuous decline”,reaching its lowest point by 2020; (3)Over the past 20 years, regions with high and medium-high carbon emission intensities in Shandong Province have continuously evolved towards medium and low intensities, with all regions transitioning to medium intensities or lower by 2020; (4)The Moran’s I index of agricultural production carbon emission intensities across the 16 regions of Shandong Province fluctuated in an N shape, demonstrating a distinct spatial clustering characteristics. In light of these findings, an in-depth analysis of the spatial evolution trends in agricultural carbon emissions in Shandong Province was conducted, along with proposed carbon emission reduction strategies, providing theoretical references for the sustainable development of agriculture in the province.
  • Rural revitalization
    LUO Zhangsong, QIAO Xiuhua
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(2): 10-14.
    Promoting the development of rural collective economy is conducive to stimulating the endogenous momentum of economic development in Qinghai Province, as well as promoting the integrated urban-rural development in Qinghai Province. This article selected typical cases of rural collectively developed economy in the country - Tongjia, Dengjia and Zhangjiagou villages as the research points, analyzed the realistic barriers in the development of rural collective economy in Qinghai Province,that were:insufficient mobilization of villagers to participate in the rural collective economy, insufficient talent reserve for the development of rural collective economy,“wait,rely on,and ask for”thinking to be optimized,unclear planning of rural collective economic development. In this regard,it is necessary to enhance the enthusiasm of villagers to participate in the rural collective economy, make up for the short board of talents need for the development of the rural collective economy, put an end to the “wait,rely on,and ask for” mentality, and formulate scientific and reasonable development plans.
  • Agro-pastoral economy
    SUN Xin, DU Fulin
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(2): 44-52.
    Under enormous challenge of livestock environmental issues,the green circular development of animal husbandry faces numerous obstacles. Based on the logical framework of greenhouse gas emissions reduction,analyzing the calculation and influencing factors of carbon emissions in animal husbandry has great practical significance for promoting green and low-carbon development of animal husbandry and accelerating the achievement of the “dual carbon” goals. This article used the carbon emission coefficient method to calculate the carbon emissions of animal husbandry in Inner Mongolia from 1990 to 2022,and analyzed the influencing factors of animal husbandry carbon emissions in Inner Mongolia using the Environmental Kuznets Curve(EKC) model and the Scalable Stochastic Environmental Impact Assessment(STIRPAT) model. The results showed that:(1)The carbon emissions of animal husbandry industry in Inner Mongolia showed an overall fluctuating upward trend from 1990 to 2022,while the carbon emission intensity fluctuated downward. In the change of carbon emission structure,the proportion of livestock intestinal fermentation to total carbon emissions was 82.40%,much higher than that of fecal management,with ruminant animals such as cattle,sheep,and goats contributing the most.(2)During the observation period,the relationship between animal husbandry carbon emissions in Inner Mongolia and the level of economic development showed an N-shaped pattern.(3)The number of people engaged in animal husbandry,per capita output value of animal husbandry,carbon emission intensity,and consumption factors had significant positive correlations with carbon emissions in animal husbandry. The promotion effect of per capita output value of animal husbandry was most obvious. While urbanization rate significantly reduced carbon emissions in animal husbandry. Based on the above research results,suggestions were proposed to adjust the structure of animal husbandry,improve the level of green technology for animal husbandry,and strengthen the low-carbon environmental awareness of farmers and herdsmen.
  • Agro-pastoral economy
    PAN Chengwang, MA Haixia
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(1): 82-91.
    Using the coupled and coordinated development system indicators of 31 complex systems under the three sub-systems of agricultural economy,agricultural ecology, and agricultural society in Xinjiang from 2010 to 2021 as the research content, this paper analyzed and constructed the evaluation indicators of the three sub-systems in Xinjiang , and systematically studied the level and coordination of agricultural development in Xinjiang using entropy weight method and coupled coordination degree model. During the study period,the three systems evolved along the tracks of lagging in agricultural society, to lagging in agricultural economy and lagging in agricultural environment. The coupling coordination degree of the three system developed from the initial moderate imbalance decline,through the verge of imbalance decline,barely coordination,preliminary coordination,intermediate coordination, to good coordination in 2021. The coupling coordination degree level has continuously developed from the imbalance stage to the coupling coordination stage. It was found that the lagging of agricultural ecology gradually became the main limiting factor of agricultural development in Xinjiang,and the development of agricultural society and agricultural economy was the key to the gradual improvement of the coupling coordination degree of the three systems. Therefore, protecting the ecological environment and rationally developing agricultural resources should come first in the development of agriculture in Xinjiang. Secondly,making good use of the system development advantages of agricultural society to promote rural construction firmly. Finally, vigorously promoting scientific and technological innovation,cultivating and expanding characteristic and advantageous industries to promote the development of Xinjiang agriculture.
  • Agro-pastoral economy
    CHEN Zhuo, ZHAO Hongkun
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(1): 92-99.
    In the emerging era of digital economy, digital inclusive finance has become an important tool to enable the high-quality coordinated development of “industrial prosperity”and “ecological livable” in rural areas. How to use digital inclusive finance to help the coordinated revitalization of rural “industry-ecology” has become an unavoidable major practical problem in the rural revitalization strategy. Based on panel data of 31 provinces in China from 2011 to 2020, this paper used panel models and instrumental variable models to examine the impact of digital inclusive finance on the coordinated revitalization of rural “industry-ecology”, and analyzed the regulation effects of green technology innovation and education on this relationship. The results showed that digital inclusive finance significantly promoted the coordinated revitalization of rural “industry-ecology”. And this conclusion remained valid after a large number of robustness tests. Both the level of green technology development and education had complementary effects on digital inclusive finance. This paper expanded research on the financial instrument of digital inclusive finance, and discussed how to coordinate the revitalization of rural “industry-ecology”.
  • Agro-pastoral economy
    LI Danwei
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(2): 84-91.
    In order to achieve the goal of green and low-carbon development, the entropy method,coupling coordination degree model,and coupling evolution model were used to analyze the coupling coordination relationship between agricultural economic development and ecological environment in Xinjiang from 2013 to 2022. The following conclusions were drawn:(1)Agriculture carbon emissions in Xinjiang were stabilizing. In accordance with the development goals of green agriculture,practical and effective carbon reduction measures were lacking.(2)The overall development status of economy-environment system was good in Xinjiang. However,from systemic perspectives,the agricultural economic development system fluctuated greatly. (3) The coupling degree of the two systems was maintained at a high level, and the coordination degree was on the rise. The gap between coupling degree and coordination degree was narrowing.(4)The development of dynamic coupling under time series was unstable,fluctuating back and forth in various stages,and has been maintained in the primary coupling stage in recent years. At the same time,the trend of static changes in time series was also developing in a positive direction.
  • Agro-pastoral economy
    SUN Peilei, JIAO Xiaoling
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(4): 90-99.
    Improving agricultural resilience is one of the key factors to accelerate the realization of agricultural and rural modernization. This paper is based on China’s provincial panel data from 2011 to 2020, this paper uses two-way fixed effect model, threshold effect model and spatial Durbin model to analyze the impact of agricultural industry agglomeration on agricultural resilience. The results show that agricultural industry agglomeration has a significant role in promoting agricultural resilience, and its effect is more obvious in non-main grain producing areas. During the study period, agricultural industrial agglomeration mainly improves the resilience level by improving the ability to resist risks and recover and reconstruct innovation. Affected by digital inclusive finance and human capital level, the promoting effect of agricultural industrial agglomeration on agricultural resilience shows nonlinear characteristics; Further analysis shows that agricultural industry agglomeration not only improves the resilience of local agriculture, but also improves the resilience of neighboring areas to a greater extent. Therefore, it is necessary to encourage all regions to adopt policies according to local conditions, create favorable external conditions for agricultural development, promote regional coordinated development, comprehensively and multi-level improve China’s agricultural resilience, and accelerate the building of an agricultural power.
  • Agro-pastoral economy
    ZHAO Yanan, LI Xiandong
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(1): 100-106.
    Promoting the integrated development of rural industries is an important measure to deepen the supply-side structural reform of agriculture and improve the comprehensive competitiveness of agriculture. Based on the panel data of 14 prefectures and cities in Xinjiang from 2011 to 2020, this paper analyzed the impact of digital inclusive finance on the integrated development of rural industries in Xinjiang using fixed effect models. The results showed that digital inclusive finance had positive effects on the integration of rural industries in Xinjiang. Factors such as rural living conditions and urbanization level had varying degrees of impact on the integrated development of rural industries in Xinjiang. From different dimensions, the coverage breadth, depth of usage, and digitization of digital inclusive finance promoted the integrated development of rural industries in Xinjiang. And the effects on the integrated development of rural industries increased sequentially. The regional heterogeneity test showed that the promoting effects of digital inclusive finance on the integrated development of rural industries were greatest in northern Xinjiang, followed by southern Xinjiang, and were smallest in eastern Xinjiang. The positive effects were stronger in agriculture and economy more developed areas. Based on this, suggestions were put forward to promote the development of digital inclusive finance and strengthen the construction of rural digitization.
  • Agro-pastoral economy
    WEI He, XU Yan
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(2): 60-67.
    Taking the embodied carbon emissions of agricultural products exported from China to Kazakhstan as the research object, based on China’s input-output data from 2010 to 2020, the input-output method was used to calculate the embodied carbon emissions of agricultural products exported from China to Kazakhstan. By constructing a logarithmic mean Dickson index (LMDI) decomposition model, the influencing factors of embodied carbon emissions of agricultural products exported from China to Kazakhstan were analyzed from three aspects: scale, structure, and technology. The results showed that from 2010 to 2020, the embodied carbon emissions of agricultural products exported from China to Kazakhstan had a trend of first increase and then decrease, with agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, fishery, and food processing industries being the main sectors of embodied carbon emissions. Scale effect was the main reason for the increase in embodied carbon emissions of agricultural products exported from China to Kazakhstan. Structural effect had a positive driving effect on embodied carbon emissions, but the effect was weak. Technological effect was an important contributing factor in reducing embodied carbon emissions of agricultural products.
  • Special article
    LU Zhanyuan
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(2): 3-9.
    Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region is rich in agricultural and animal husbandry resources. Agricultural and animal husbandry production is the foundation of its economic and social development. As China’s “grain bank” “meat bank” “milk tank” and “cashmere city”,the grain output has jumped to the 6th place in the country, the output of milk,beef,and cashmere has ranked first in the country for many years in a row. Agriculture and animal husbandry sectors have great development potential, and play a crucial role in ensuring a steady and secure supply of grain and other key agricultural products in the country. Analyses of the current situation of the Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region agricultural and livestock products production base construction found that, the agricultural and livestock products production base construction was hampered by the fragile ecological environment, uneven distribution of resources, and weak infrastructure of agricultural and animal husbandry. Under the guidance of the “ecological priority, green development” concept, the comprehensive production capacity of agriculture and animal husbandry needs to be improved. Therefore, the construction of agricultural and livestock production bases should coordinate efforts from firmly establishing new development concepts, strengthening germplasm resources protection and new variety cultivation, strengthening the protection of arable land and water resources, controlling sources of pollution, strengthening the construction of talent team, and coordinating the management of “mountains, water, forests, farmlands, lakes, grasses and sands” . Promote the construction of agricultural and livestock product production bases in reinforce the foundation, increase production capacity and efficiency, activate power, and help Inner Mongolia achieve the goal of “exploring new paths and entering the middle reaches”.
  • Agro-pastoral economy
    HOU Xiaohuan, SUN Hongxia
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(3): 76-84.
    The key to rural revitalization lies in industrial revitalization. Rural industry integration is one of the important means to change the mode of economic development, optimize the industrial system and solve the “three rural” issues. Based on TOE analysis framework, this study discussed the factors influencing the integration and development of rural industries from the dimensions of technology, organization,and environment, and used fuzzy set qualitative comparative analysis (fsQCA) to conduct empirical tests on the panel data of 30 provinciel administrative regions in China (except Tibet, Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan) in 2020 and 2021. According to the configuration results, the configuration path to improve the level of rural industry integration and development was analyzed. The results showed that: (1) Digital technology, technological innovation, urbanization, non-agriculturalization of industrial institutions, government support and rural electricity consumption level were important factors affecting the integrated development of rural industries; (2) There were four configuration paths that can produce high levels of rural industry integration and development, and digital technology was the core element of all configuration paths. The research conclusion revealed the complex causal relationship of the integrated development of rural industries, had high theoretical and practical value for transforming the mode of rural economic development and realizing industrial transformation and upgrading.
  • Agro-pastoral economy
    LI Rangzheng, HUANG Ling
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(1): 28-34.
    The improvement of agricultural productivity in underdeveloped areas is of great significance to the achievement of rural revitalization. This paper used DEA-BCC model and DEA-Malmquist index to evaluate the agricultural productivity of Chongqing City and its 37 counties and further analyzed the influencing factors. The study showed that at the whole city level, the agricultural productivity of Chongqing City from 2016 to 2020 had an upward trend, but were in DEA invalid state in most years, mainly due to low scale efficiency. The total factor productivity of Chongqing City has been steadily increasing, with an average annual increase of 10.7%. At the county level, the agricultural productivity of Chongqing City was relatively high from 2016 to 2020, but there were obvious regional differences. The DEA effective counties were mainly in the metropolitan area. The total factor productivity from high to low were Northeast Chongqing town group > Southeast Chongqing town group > Metropolitan area. Among the influencing factors, machinery input per unit of cultivated land, fertilizer input per unit of cultivated land, effective irrigation land ratio, and government investment were promoting factors, while industrial structure and proportion of grain sowing area were restricting factors. Consequently, it was suggested to implement the strategy of agricultural production modernization and regionalization.
  • Rural revitalization
    ZHOU Zhou, JIA Lei
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(1): 7-12.
    Industrial prosperity is an important breakthrough for achieving comprehensive rural revitalization and building a modern agricultural power. This study examined the practical experience of integrated development of rural industries in Lujia village, Zhushan village, and Digang village in Huzhou City, Zhejiang Province, and provided countermeasures for promoting the revitalization of rural industries. The results showed that the development of rural industries needs to be based on objective reality and tailor to local conditions; strengthening the guidance of rural industrial planning, infrastructure development and public service construction, and polishing the ecological background of rural industrial development; the active participation and promotion of market entities and social forces were important forces in promoting the development of rural industries; fully utilizing rural characteristic resources, using innovating mechanism models, to take the path of industrial integration and development. Countermeasures and suggestions were proposed to promote the revitalization of rural industries in precise positioning and reshaping the value of rural functions, developing various agricultural functions according to local conditions to promote industrial integration and development, strengthening financial support and talent cultivation and introduction, and strengthening institutional construction and policy guarantees.
  • Rural revitalization
    ZHU Fukun, HU Weiwei
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(1): 13-20.
    Industrial prosperity is an important part of rural revitalization and a basic guarantee for achieving common prosperity. In the practice of rural industrial development, problems such as “singularity” of action subjects, “fragmentation” of development resources, and “lack” of development mechanisms became the main obstacles hindering the prosperity of industries. Exploring the multi-agent collaborative model in industrial development has great significance. Adopting the case study research method, based on the empirical study of Yangling “China Agricultural Science City” demonstration zone, this study explored the operational logic of the “five links and one grasp” model in the context of collaborative governance. As an effective measure for the revitalization of rural industries, the “five links and one grasp” strategy achieved the effective integration of rural industrial resources through the combination of experts linking industry, scientific research linking production, enterprises linking the market, departments linking policies, and party members linking the masses. Research found that the mechanisms of deepening the construction of social networks, resource integration of the promoting aggregation elements, and interest linkage oriented by the promoting community composed the internal logic for promoting the effective operation of the “five links and one grasp” model and were crucial in comprehensively promoting the revitalization of rural industries.
  • Agro-pastoral economy
    ZHU Xinxin, YANG Yuanyi
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(3): 59-66.
    The key development and opening up pilot zone is an important “test field” for building a new system of open economy at a higher level in China’s border areas, and is of great significance for promoting the high-quality trade development in China’s border areas. This study took the construction of key development and opening up pilot zones as the natural experiment,used the DID model to test the influence of key development and opening up pilot zone policies on high-quality trade development in border areas. The study found that the construction of key development and opening up pilot zones can significantly promote the high-quality development of trade in the border areas. This conclusion was still valid after parallel trend test,placebo test and counterfactual test. The conclusion of this study provides useful enlightenment for further expanding the scope of key development and opening up pilot zones,promoting the high-quality development of trade in border areas, and promoting the construction of a new pattern of all-round,multi-level and wide-field opening-up in China.
  • Agro-pastoral economy
    REN Pengyue, Siqinmenghe, Du Fulin
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(3): 44-50.
    In order to clarify the impact of loan amount on herdsmen household income, this article surveyed herdsmen households in cashmere goats core breeding area in Ordos City from 2020 to 2022 and explored the impact mechanisms using the random effect model and mediation effect tests. The results showed that the amount of herdsmen household loans in the Ordos region not only directly promoted their operational income, but also indirectly promoted operational income by increasing animal husbandry expenditure. Animal husbandry expenditure had significant mediating effects between herdsmen household loans and income. There was a mechanism of “herdsmen household loan - animal husbandry expenditure - income increase”. In view of this, the local financial institutions should vigorously develop productive loans for herdsmen to meet the animal husbandry expenditure;local governments and social organizations should actively train herdsmen to use loan funds reasonably, provide guarantees for their loans, encourage finance companies to issue agricultural and animal husbandry loans, and provide credit and loan support for herdsmen household animal husbandry production.
  • Agro-pastoral economy
    WANG Cheng, LIU Li, FAN Tingting
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(2): 53-59.
    Based on the panel data of 30 provinces in China from 2011 to 2022,this paper used the entropy method to measure the development level of agricultural characteristic industries and digital economy,and empirically analyzed the spatial spillover effect of digital economy empowering agricultural characteristic industries using spatial Durbin model (SDM). The results showed that digital economy significantly promoted the development of agricultural characteristic industries,and the spatial spillover effect of digital economy also radiated and drove the development of agricultural characteristic industries in geographical adjacent areas. The impact of digital economy on the development of agricultural characteristic industries was nonlinear,threshold effects existed. There was regional heterogeneity in the impact of the digital economy. The effects on the development of agricultural characteristic industries in the central region were most significant,followed by the western region, and the eastern region had smaller impacts. In this regard,in order to further promot the development of agricultural characteristic industries empowered by the digital economy,suggestions were put forward on strengthening the cultivation of talents in the digital economy,actively innovating the development model of the digital industry,and adopting differentiated measures for the digital economy according to the level of digital economy development and regional heterogeneity.
  • Ecological and environmental protection
    LI Jie, SHI Haixia, LIN Shuang
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(1): 107-112.
    Animal husbandry is the main source of carbon emissions in China, mainly from the breeding process of livestock. Inappropriate disposal of livestock manure can cause significant carbon emissions. In order to better meet the target of carbon neutrality and promote the green and low-carbon transformation development of the economy and society,various regions are actively exploring energy saving and emission reduction activities. Based on this,this study visited 867 farmer families in Tongliao City,Inner Mongolia, and conducted descriptive analysis of their manure resources utilization behavior. The farmers' utilization behavior of manure resources were then studied and analyzed using a logistic model. The current utilization levels of manure resources were summarized. This paper focused on investigating the influencing factors of the behavioral willingness and technological proficiency of farmers on manure resource utilization behavior. Relevant suggestions and countermeasures were proposed in response to issues such as inadequate support,weak awareness of farmers,and non-standard utilization of manure resources.
  • Agro-pastoral economy
    YUAN Shiyi
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(1): 46-53.
    In this study, the global SBM-GML index was used to measure and decompose the agricultural green efficiency and green total factor productivity of 31 provinces in China from 2011 to 2019, and the influencing factors were analyzed with the Tobit model. The results showed that the growth of green total factor production efficiency in China's agriculture was relatively slow, in which technical efficiency was the key factor promoting the growth, while technological progress played restricting role to certain extent. From the perspective of the 31 provinces in China, 14 provinces achieved agricultural green efficiency in 2019. The growth rate of agricultural green total factor productivity of Henan, Jiangxi and Guangdong were the top three in the country. Economic development level, industrial structure and fiscal expenditure had positive effects on the improvement of agricultural green total factor productivity, while human capital structure and environmental regulation had negative effects. Natural disasters had negative effects on agricultural green total factor productivity in the whole country, central and western China, and positive effects in eastern China.
  • Agro-pastoral economy
    CHEN Yifan, MAI Qiangsheng, SUN Zhixiong
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(1): 54-61.
    Food security is an important issue of both national economy and people's livelihood. Its discussion is becoming more intense under the close connection of the global economy. China's global influence continues to expand as a result of the RCEP, and this has new implications for the food security of RCEP countries. Based on panel data from RCEP countries from 2004 to 2019, this study constructed a comprehensive indicator system for food security of RCEP countries using principal component analysis. The relationship between food security of RCEP countries and China's agricultural foreign investment was studied using the least squares method and fixed effects model. Through pulse response analysis, whether these effects have changed over time were investigated in order to explore the impact of China's agricultural foreign investment on the food security of RCEP countries. The research found that: (1)Overall, agricultural production value and annual growth rate of rural population had positive impacts on food security in RCEP countries. From a single country perspective, China's agricultural foreign investment, cultivated land area, agricultural production value, and trade openness were positively correlated with the food security of RCEP countries. (2) Food security of RCEP countries had positive response on the impact of arable land area, agricultural production value, rural population growth rate and negative response on the impact of China's foreign investment.
  • Agro-pastoral economy
    LI Gang
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(1): 62-68.
    Scientific measurement of the coordinated development level of agricultural economy and low-carbon agriculture is the basic prerequisite for achieving high-quality development of agriculture and animal husbandry. Taking the agricultural economic development system and the agricultural low-carbon development system as the starting point, this paper used 28 specific indicators, multi-index comprehensive evaluation method, coupled coordination model, and obstacle degree model to systematically analyze the coordination level of agricultural economy and low-carbon agricultural in Yili Prefecture. The results showed that the two systems of the three districts were highly coupled, and the level of coordination increased year by year. Although the two systems have reached coordination, the overall coordination degree was still relatively low. In view of this, suggestions were made from three aspects, systematically promote the comprehensive green transformation of agriculture and rural areas, standardize the main body behavior and stimulate the participating enthusiasm of farmers, make up for the shortcomings and improve the coordination level of agricultural economy and low-carbon agricultural.
  • Agro-pastoral economy
    MA Ming, FENG Yidan, HE Ying, SONG Yi
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(4): 64-71.
    It is of great significance for ensuring food security, promoting the protection and sustainable use of cultivated land resources to quantitatively analysis the multifunctional spatiotemporal differentiation pattern and its changing characteristics of cultivated land in Anhui Province, and reveal relevant influencing factors. The methods, such as entropy method, GIS spatial visualization analysis, and grey correlation degree method, are used in this paper to study the spatiotemporal differentiation and influencing factors of multifunctional farmland from 2000 to 2020 in Anhui Province. The results of this study indicate that: (1)The trend of changes in various functions of cultivated land is not the same, with a significant increase in grain production and economic contribution functions year by year, while ecological maintenance functions and social security functions are gradually showing a downward trend; (2)There are significant differences in the spatial distribution of multifunctional farmland, with high levels of grain production functions distributed in the northern Anhui plain, high levels of economic contribution functions mainly distributed in the southern Anhui mountainous areas, high levels of ecological maintenance functions located in the Yangtze River plain, and high levels of social security functions mainly located in the Yangtze River plain and southern Anhui mountainous areas;(3)The main influencing factors are shifting from natural geographical conditions such as per capita arable land area and land reclamation rate to social, economic, and agricultural technological conditions such as urbanization rate, per capita disposable income of rural residents, and total driving force of agricultural mechanization. The above results provide important theoretical support to formulate regional differentiation and diversification policies for farmland protection and utilization in Anhui Province.
  • Agro-pastoral economy
    FU Xinyu, LI Yerong, DUAN Juying
    Modern Agriculture. 2024, 49(4): 72-80.
    It is of great significance for promoting coordinated development of regional agriculture to explore the dynamic evolution trend of regional agricultural production efficiency and analyze regional differences. The methods, such as the super efficiency SBM model, kernel density estimation method, and Dagum Gini coefficient decomposition method are used in this paper to study the dynamic evolution characteristics and regional differences of agricultural production efficiency from 2008 to 2022 in 16 cities in Shandong Province. The research results indicate that during the research period, the overall agricultural production efficiency of Shandong Province has been increasing year by year, presenting a spatial pattern of Central Shandong>eastern Shandong>Northwestern Shandong>Southwestern Shandong; The overall difference shows a fluctuating upward trend, and regional differences are the main source of the overall difference. Based on this, it is proposed to formulate differentiated agricultural development strategies and optimize measures to narrow regional and inter regional differences, in order to improve the overall agricultural production efficiency level and promote comprehensive rural revitalization in Shandong Province.