潍坊地区某高校新生体质量指数预测分析

doi:10.3969/j.issn.1006-5253.2017.05.001

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Abstract Objective To understand the development law of the body mass index to the Newly Enrolled Students of a university in weifang, and to provide theoretical basis and data support for the rational development of physical health promotion measures for university students. Methods Totally 30 609 newly enrolled students from 2008 to 2016 were selected from a university in weifang, and the data of their entrance examination were adjusted to calculate the average mass index of the year. The grey-Markov method was used for forecast and analysis. Results We Built the grey-Markov modified model: G(k)=Y(k)-12(A_i+B_i). The prediction accuracy was in the first level after the posterior error ratio (C=0.088) and the small error probability (P=0.987) test. The average body mass index of the newly enrolled students of one university during the 2017-2020 years were 20.69, 21.33, 21.39, and 21.45, and the figures of Markov status were 3, 1, 2, and 3. Conclusion The university students′ body mass index is in normal range for the period of 2017-2020, but the increase trend is clear. Therefore, it is necessary to strengthen physical monitoring, reasonable intervention and health literacy, to guide college students to exercise scientifically and control their weight reasonably in case of the overweight and obesity risk caused by the rise of BMI.

Key words： grey-Markov modified model body mass index forecast

Received: 20 September 2017

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	Articles by authors
	An Hongqing
	Li Xiangyun
	Qi Leitao
	Li Wei

Cite this article:

An Hongqing,Li Xiangyun,Qi Leitao, et al. Forecast analysis of body mass index of the newly enrolled students of one university in Weifang[J]. journal1, 2017, 24(5): 321-323.

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http://manu58.magtech.com.cn/Jwk_zgyytj/EN/10.3969/j.issn.1006-5253.2017.05.001 OR http://manu58.magtech.com.cn/Jwk_zgyytj/EN/Y2017/V24/I5/321

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