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| Study on the application of grey model in the prediction of outpatient volume in a tertiary comprehensive hospital |
| Lao Yahong |
| Shaoxing Second Hospital, Shaoxing 312000, China |
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Abstract Objective To discuss the application of grey model (1,1) in the prediction of outpatient volume, so as to provide methodology reference for forecasting the number of outpatient in general hospitals. Methods The grey model GM (1,1) was used to predict and fit the outpatient number, and the relative error was calculated, and the prediction was extrapolated. Results The number predicted by the grey model GM (1,1) and the actual value had a small fitting error, and the accuracy rating of model prediction was excellent (P>0.95). Conclusion The grey model GM(1,1) can provide quantitative reference data for the hospital to arrange outpatient work, and provide scientific decision-making basis for the refined management of modern hospitals.
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Received: 21 August 2020
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